If In Doubt, 'always back self interest'

If you cannot satisfactorily reconcile that someone is working in your best interest, do not proceed. It is so easy to get wrapped up in an exciting idea, however one thing I do know is that there are more great ideas than managers to make them a success.

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The Old Fashioned Method of Buy Low and Sell Higher.

In overall performance terms I do know that that being down less than the market is far more important than being up more, over the medium to longer term.  The obsession with “beating the market” on the upside is absurd when mathematically to beat the market, you need to not get beaten in a down move

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Nearly All you Need To Know About Stock Picking

 This story is not about technology stocks, it’s about the value-add that mainstream companies will access because they can now quickly adopt technological solutions.

This unfolding scenario will affect investing outcomes but also how kids will be affected in the job market.

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"There are no bad ideas, only early ones"

Stock market returns tend to be driven by a handful of big winners; for venture capital investors, it’s even more lopsided. Venture-capital funds typically have a 50 percent failure rate -- half of the investments lose money, with half of those being total losses

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Investors Who Get Wiped Out

Managing risk in it’s most basic form is focusing on the potential for loss of a particular investment or trade. When a strategy relies on a trade being correct inevitably trouble will occur at some stage. If you are guilty of this, and you aren’t alone there.…something has to change.

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A Look At Mentors

"If you're early on in your career and they give you a choice between a great mentor or higher pay, take the mentor every time.  It’s not even close.  And don't even think about leaving that mentor until your learning curve peaks." Stanley Druckenmiller

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Is Something Changing With Warren Buffett?

Among other great quotes that a current index investment in the US ignores (while the CAPE ration is in the high 20's) is that there is no "demanding of a margin of safety” or "waiting for a fat pitch”. So in extolling the positive virtues of S&P index investing, maybe Berkshire is actually heading ever so slightly in the the beta  direction.

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When Passive Investing Becomes Active

It is human nature not to be satisfied with the certainty equivalent even though the certainty equivalent is very good. People exhibit risk aversion when it comes to most things, except when it comes to trying to beat the market. So if one actively chooses an ETF portfolio, this is speculation.... which is not so bad but just be honest about what you are doing.

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